After failing to turn up for most of the season, Manchester United chose to appear at Old Trafford to spoil Liverpool’s winning streak.
Elsewhere, Tottenham couldn’t even get a victory when bottom of the table Watford rolled into town and Chelsea only just managed to get a win over Newcastle.
Some results have been deserved this season but on other occasions clubs look like they have been a little bit lucky with the results falling their way.
Leicester City though, according to ‘expected goals’ (xG), could have lost to Burnley with data suggesting the shot quality was worth a 1.80-0.83 defeat for Brendan Rodgers’ side instead of a 2-1 win.
To get a better look at how sides are doing, the xG metric allows us to get a better picture of just how teams are performing.
What is expected goals?
- Expected goals (xG) is a statistic used to work out how many goals should be scored in a match.
- Every single shot is awarded an xG value based on the difficulty of the attempt, with factors including distance from goal, type of shot and number of defenders present affecting the value.
- The higher the xG of a particular shot, the more likely a goal should be scored from that shot.
- The xG value of every shot in a game is then used to calculate the expected goals in a particular match.
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